Thursday, August 25, 2016

Ottomans.

This is coolbert:

The Turk moves south!!

From the Sheldon Adelson Internet web site Israel Hayom this move should be seen by American authorities as ominous?

 "Turkish tanks enter Syria, aim to free ISIS-held town"

"Move is Turkey's most significant military involvement in Syria to date • Turkish incursion also aims to address growing power of Kurdish forces in region • Operation involves intense Turkish artillery fire followed by warplanes bombing ISIS targets."

"After a pre-dawn barrage of heavy artillery and airstrikes, Turkey sent tanks and special forces into Syria on Wednesday to help clear a border town of Islamic State militants in Ankara's most significant military involvement so far in the Syria conflict."

The goal at this moment IS THE DESTRUCTION OF ISLAMIC STATE COMBATANTS!


A tank of the Turkish army, an American M-60 that has recently been refurbished and improved? A Sabra?

THE TURK PERHAPS EVEN MORE IMPORTANTLY HAVING DESIGNS IN THE LONG RUN ON THAT ENCLAVE OF U.S. BACKED AND SUPPORTED ANTI-ASSAD SYRIAN KURDS?

"Turkey said its intention was to clear the Islamic State presence from the town of Jarablus, located right across the border from Turkey. But Turkey is also concerned about the growing power of U.S.-backed Syrian Kurdish forces, who it says are linked to Kurdish groups waging an insurgency in southeastern Turkey."

A move against those Syrian Kurds by the Turk would place America Special Forces and the military units of a NATO ally in direct conflict with one another?

This threat too might be used as a bargaining chip as part of negotiations for the return of Gulen to stand trial in Turkey for his role in the recent coup attempt. Biden might act as a repentant but to the Turk that might not be good enough?

coolbert.

Wednesday, August 24, 2016

Hastings & Schlieffen.

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From the Pritzker Military Library and Museum podcast, the eminent historian Sir Max Hastings being interviewed with regard to his book "Catastrophe". A history of the Great War [WW1].


German troops circa 1914 in that first month of the war advancing through French [?] territory and moving cross-country. A tempting target for any French or British machine gunner. Reminds me of another image as seen in a previous blog entry.
 
Hastings stating in his book that the Schlieffen Plan as executed in 1914 was doomed from the start for two reasons:

1. Too much demanded from the German rank and file soldiers. The physical effort of the prolonged march as had to be sustained exceptionally rigorous.

2. Communications of the time too primitive. German commanders executing the operational art not able to coordinate their movements in consonance with the orders as issued by the General Staff in Berlin. Reliable two-way communications lacking!

That operational art the movement of large-size units to accomplish strategic goals.

Two other reasons also as cited by historians and military experts as being responsible for the failure of the Schlieffen Plan.

* The size of the German army not increased 50 % in that period between 1905 and 1914.

* The ability of the Russian to mobilize in two weeks [1914] as compared to the estimated four weeks as was thought to be the case in 1905.

Assumptions as made by Von Schlieffen in 1905 not valid by 1914.

Read further from the wiki entry for the Schlieffen Plan the various interpretations of the experts.

Devoted readers to the blog take it from there.

coolbert.

Tuesday, August 23, 2016

Pacifism ISIL.

This is coolbert:

As obtained from a quick perusal of various Internet web sites the point of view of the pacifist toward ISIL. When confronted by violence a response with violence is not now or EVER warranted?

1. "How do pacifists think we should react to ISIS?"

"By doing what any other pacifist would do. Nothing. Believe it or not that is the best solution to defeat ISIL."

2. "Is There a Nonviolent Response to ISIS?"

 "Erin Niemela proposes these three commonsense pathways to peace"

    1) "Immediately stop sending funds and weapons to all involved parties."

    2) "Fully invest in social and economic development initiatives in any region in which terrorist groups are engaged."

     3) "Fully support any and all nonviolent civil society resistance movements."

3. "Practical Pacifism: How We Defeat ISIL"

"We’re glad people are asking this question, because we have a great answer. How can pacifists defeat ISIL?"

"Answer: carefully and slowly."

4. "A Pacifist Response to the Islamic State"

"So what’s the alternative? If crushing the Islamic State under the weight of all the western military can throw at it will only produce something worse in the end, what other option can there be that doesn’t allow the IS to simply continue? I’m no military strategist, so take what I’m about to say with a grain of salt, but the pacifist answer is in two forms of sabotage, direct and indirect."

Read here from the perspective of the pacifist those actions as deemed appropriate in response to a regime despotic and cruel.

coolbert.

Monday, August 22, 2016

Warning!

This is coolbert:

From CNN and germane to several previous blog entries as seen here and here, American forces have now issued a warning to both Syria and Russia. Leave our Kurdish enclave in Syria ALONE! Indeed, this has the potentiality to be quite major.

"Top US commander warns Russia, Syria"

"Lt. Gen. Stephen Townsend talks to CNN from his HQ in Baghdad"

"The commander of US forces in Iraq and Syria predicted the defeat of ISIS by next year"

 "(CNN) — In the most direct public warning to Moscow and Damascus to date, the new US commander of American troops in Iraq and Syria is vowing to defend US special operations forces in northern Syria if regime warplanes and artillery again attack in areas where troops are located."

"'We've informed the Russians where we're at ... (they) tell us they've informed the Syrians, and I'd just say that we will defend ourselves if we feel threatened,' Lt. Gen. Stephen Townsend told CNN in a telephone interview Saturday from his Baghdad headquarters."

As to that prediction that ISIL will be defeated by next year, I hate to sound pessimistic but I will believe it when I see it.

coolbert.

Water.

This is coolbert:

As it has been in the past, as it is now, but will not be in the near future?

Thanks here to Strategy Page for this item:

"Logistics: Water Purification Made Simple And Cheap"

In the historical sense the two biggest killers in warfare have been feet and water.

1. Having bad feet, unable to keep with the march and becoming separated from your unit, the straggler set upon by local civilians, marauders or partisans and killed.

2. Water! NOT having enough water to drink or drinking bad water.

"For the military clean water is a necessity, otherwise the troops will suffer more than the locals (who have developed some resistance to the bad water). The foreigners often have digestive systems with little experience with bad water and are thus more vulnerable."

AND A CHEAP AND EASY SOLUTION TO THIS AGE-OLD PROBLEM HAS BEEN FOUND? Read the entire Strategy Page article and decide for yourself.

Water purification thanks to the advances of modern science now available to everyone and at a cheap price! Thanks to the research with a military application in mind BUT ALSO useful to the civilian populace as well!

Who could ask for more?

coolbert.



Tectonics.

This is coolbert:

“This is a tectonic movement that is bigger than a mere transfer of weapons, even nuclear. There is an extremely dynamic geopolitical context here. The Moscow-Ankara-Tehran axis now in the making would radically change the situation [in] the region,”
 
From the Russian Internet news media Sputnik some updates good and bad regarding the American atomic munitions stationed in Turkey. Tectonics of course referring to the geological movement of continents on a grand planetary scale.

1. "Kremlin Presses Turkey for Access to NATO's Incirlik Air Base, Home to US Nukes"

Russian officials have reached out to Ankara to request access to the American-built base as a convenient launch pad for airstrikes in the Syrian theater, but it remains to be seen whether such cooperation will roil NATO’s feathers.

2. "Man Who Wrote About US Nukes Moving From Turkey Stands by His Report"

Georgi Gotev, the author of an article about the US transferring its nuclear weapons in Turkey to Romania, insists that the information obtained from his own sources can be trusted, and promised to follow up on this subject.

3. "Could Terrorists Gain Access to US Nukes at NATO's Incirlik Base in Turkey?"

"Some worry that US-made nuclear weapons are not safe at the Incirlik air base in Turkey, but Ismail Hakki Pekin, former head of the intelligence unit of the Chief of Staff of the Turkish army, told Sputnik these comments serve to 'exert pressure on' Turkey so as to prevent Ankara from changing its foreign policy strategy.

More likely worry about determined and suicidal terrorists of the Islamic State for instance using a truck bomb or satchel charges as wielded by sappers attacking the storage facility of the nuclear weapons and destroying same in situ. A radioactive plume sent skyward and much of Anatolia being "dusted" with plutonium!! That is how it could go down?

Incirlik only about sixty miles [100 kilometers] from the Syrian border!! To be brutally honest it was a big mistake to allow IN THE FIRST PLACE ATOMICS TO BE STORED SO CLOSE TO SUCH A VOLATILE AREA!!

See previous blog entries regarding this topic:

http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2016/08/atomics-incrilik.html

http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2016/08/atomics-turkey.html

http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2016/08/karagul.html

coolbert.

Sunday, August 21, 2016

Fencer & Raptor.

This is coolbert:

From the Aviationist an article by David Cenciotti that answers the question as posed in a previous blog entry:

"Syrian Su-24s attempting to fly close to U.S. Special Forces in Syria get intercepted and 'encouraged to leave' by F-22 Raptors"

"Two Syrian Su-24 Fencer attempting to fly over a Kurdish-held area in northeastern Syria where U.S. SOF (Special Operations Forces) are operating, get intercepted by U.S. F-22 and encouraged to depart the airspace."

These are Syrian Fencer as piloted by Syrians? Those Syrian Kurds from the American perspective friendlies, only in recent days their "enclave" bombed by pro-Assad forces. About three hundred American Special Forces also active in the area.

THIS INCIDENT ALSO NOT THE FIRST TIME SUCH AN EVENT HAS OCCURRED. APPARENTLY A NO-FLY ZONE EXISTS OVER THAT SYRIAN KURDISH ENCLAVE, INTRUDERS BEWARE!

coolbert.